Category: Published Writings

A rarely heard of investment strategy; The Collar

 

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Many people own or trade stocks.  Investors use fundamental analysis to choose a stock to purchase in hopes that it will go up in value.  Some purchase a stock for the income it may provide via dividends.  Traders purchase or sell stocks based on technical analysis buying and selling often on movement or volatility in the stock price.  These are all very basic and your 401K and IRA’s do the same thing depending on which one you chose your broker to invest in.

 

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     A more advanced and even more conservative stragety however is to “write a covered call”.  This means to sell a contract on the stock that you already own.  This will produce an income even if the stock price stays the same, or even goes down in value that month.  It also helps to hedge, or offset the downside numbers in your account if the stock price does go down that month because although your stock went down in value by say 2%, you may have received 1% in income from selling the covered call.  

     This is how it works;  lets say you own 100 shares of xyz stock.  You bought it a while ago at $50/ share.  The price is now $60/ share.  Instead of selling the stock to actually realize a profit, because it may continue to go up in price as the years or months go on, you choose to write a covered call.  This means that you sell a contract to a person, they pay you an agreed upon price to purchase the stock at any time they choose in the next month (or longer if you wish, for a higher premium of course).  So you bought the stock at $50, its already at $60, and you sell a contract to sell it to someone at $65.  For this they premium they pay you for that privilege (contract) may be $.25.  These are all multiplied by 100 so you would recieve $25 income to agree to sell your stock to them at $65 in the next month.  

     So, if the price does reach $65 or higher the buyer of your contract will “exercise” or buy it from you at the agreed upon price of $65.  That means you made a profit of $15/per share plus $25 for the agreement (options contract).  Pretty good deal right.  You locked in a price to sell it at a profit and got money (income) to do it.  If the price never reaches $65 then you keep your stock and the $25 and do it again month after month.  And the great part is that if your stock keeps climbint every month, you simply move your agreed upon selling price up, guaranteeing you more profit and still get the income.   

     An example would be, you did exactly the above for this month.  Your xyz stock price did go up, but it only went up to $62.50.  This means the purchaser of your contract will certainly not buy yours at $65 when they can buy it on the open market at $62.50  So you keep his money, and the contract expires on the third friday of every month.  Now that your stock price has moved up, this month you sell the contract for the same price ($25), but this time you agree to sell your stock at $67.50 instead of $65!  Sound pretty good eh?  It is.  Its a smart and more conservative way to own a stock rather than to just buy it and hold it.  

     Now we get to the more advanced move.  We create what is called a Collar.  This means we own the stock, sell the covered call as above, but instead of pocketing the $25 premium for the contract we put it to work opening another position (opportunity) for us.  We already own the stock, the $25 was free, so we take that money and we buy a call option.  This means that if the stock price goes up, we not only sell our stock at a profit, but we also sell our options contract at an option, and we bought this option with the money we sold the contract to sell for.  So lets look at what happens.

     If the stock price goes up, but doesnt reach $67.50 then we keep your stock, and we sell our call option that we bought at a profit, and it was paid for by the selling of the other option contract.  

     If the price of our stock doesnt change, we keep our stock, and both options contracts expire costing us nothing.

     If the stock price rises above $67.50/ share;  We sell our stock at a nice profit, and we also sell our call option we purchased at a profit as well, getting to profits off of one stock position.

     If the stock falls in price this month;  we keep our stock, and both of our options contracts expire without any money plus or minus.

 

graph from http://collars.optionetics.com/collars.aspx

 

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Alternative meat sources; Tactics and Preparedness Magazine

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2 words that will change how people respond to a sentence

 

These two common words can really make a difference!  They will make a difference in how people react to your statement or point.  Using just one or the other will tell their brain what thought you are really trying to convey to them. 

The word “And” consolidates and minimizes a point or fact.  You can use this when making a list that you want to minimize the effect.  Say if you were to be telling your boss about a project and there was a bad piece in there, to minimize the significance of the list you use “And”.

An example would be; Our sales of Widget A,B And C were down but……

The word “Or” multiplies and exaggerates a list. So if you want to make something look better or larger, use the word Or in your sentence.

This product works in cold or humid or hot climates.  When your brain hears this it hears 3 different things.  cold;hot;humid.  Compare that to:

This product works in the cold and hot and humid climates.

Hot and humid are lumped together as one.  Your brain counts 2 different characteristics, when there are really 3!

When speaking we can use voice tones to emphasize or deemphasize words, we can also use voice volume and speed to make those effects as well.  However, when typing a text or email, the use of these words in Imperative to the person seeing things your way.

Try being conscious of this in all of your texts this week and watch the difference!  It may seem small, but the human subconscious is strong.

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Tactics and Preparedness Magazine article; Alternative protein sources series by Kelly Alwood

December 2016

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Kelly Alwood article on Alternative meat sources; part 1. Tactics and Preparedness Magazine

This is the first article in a series about acquiring and processing alternative meat and protein sources for survival.

 

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American Survival Guide Magazine; Special Edition by Kelly Alwood

What an amazing issue of American Survival Guide Magazine.

This issue is packed with ruck sacks of knowledge from absolute experts in their fields.

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Feature article; Tactics and Preparedness Magazine AR-15 Hunting

This is one great magazine.  I highly recommend that you subscribe and read it every month.  Every issue is packed with topics you love, with tons of great pictures, by guys who really know their stuff.

This month we look at using our combat weapon as a practical preparedness and survival tool as well.

 

 

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Verbal Blunders of Political Candidates

As we watch the rating go up and down, spike and plummet, we can see why.  When we analyize this objectively (as I am taking NO political stance here on either side), we are looking at the blunders that should have and could have been avoided with Behavioral Programming methodology.

First up, the Trump repeat.

Republican U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump gives a pair of thumbs up gestures as he enters the Verizon Wireless Arena for a campaign event in Manchester, New Hampshire, February 8, 2016. REUTERS/Rick Wilking - RTX262P3
Republican U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump gives a pair of thumbs up gestures as he enters the Verizon Wireless Arena for a campaign event in Manchester, New Hampshire, February 8, 2016. REUTERS/Rick Wilking – RTX262P3

The candidate: Donald J. Trump, the classiest candidate

The gaffe: Discussing Ted Cruz’s opposition to waterboarding, Trump heard a shout in the audience. “She just said a terrible thing,” Trump said. You know what she said? Shout it out because I don’t want to say.” She did it, but he decided to repeat it anyway. “OK. You’re not allowed to say—and I never expect to hear that from you again,” he impishly scolded. “She said he’s a pussy. That’s terrible. Terrible!” 

We discuss this in depth in the book Behavioral Programming.  It is a social and interpersonal rule breaker to repeat, and raise/give attention and acknowledge an intentional personal attack.  This is discussed in Chapter 21 in the book, the effects of doing this and what the appropriate alternatives are.

This “cackling” from the crowd seems to be somewhat common place during speaches.  In chapter 30 of the book we discuss this and how to stop it.  If you address behavior correctly, others will respond the programming and prevent future instances, even from completely different people.

Chapter 34 of the book also addresses these types of issues.  How to turn a negative comment or situation around to be positive and make you look good and the other person satisfied as well.

Chapter 38 lays out the rules for keeping these types of incidents from happening again.  Deal with an issue once, make it a positive experience, and keep it from happening again.

A huge part of these candidates loosing supporters and poll numbers dropping is due to comments or actions “going viral”.  The word gets around very quickly these days with social media and the news.  Chapter 44 in the book teaches you all about how this social dynamic works, and how to make it work in your favor, or start a revolution against you.

 

Democratic Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton jokes with patients while visiting the Crossroads rehabilitation facility in Reno, Nevada November 23, 2015. REUTERS/James Glover II - RTX1VIV1
Democratic Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton jokes with patients while visiting the Crossroads rehabilitation facility in Reno, Nevada November 23, 2015. REUTERS/James Glover II – RTX1VIV1

The candidate: Hillary Clinton

The gaffe: Perhaps it’s more the denouement of a gaffe. During a Facebook chat Tuesday, journalist-activist Jose Antonio Vargas criticized Clinton for referring to people who are in the country without official status as “illegal immigrants.” In response, she pledged to quit using the term.

The defense: The debate over how to refer to this group of people is heated and hardly resolved. The Associated Press, for example, in 2013 dropped “illegal immigrant” but also banned “undocumented immigrant” as imprecise and often untrue.

Why it matters (or doesn’t): In some ways, this is a microcosm of Clinton’s struggles: She comes from the ’60s, a long time ago, and she never seems so out of touch as when she deploys terminology that used to be acceptable but isn’t anymore. She also seems to periodically misstep, annoying progressives who don’t entirely trust her.

 

Here was have what is a problem for everyone.  Word choice.  What words and terms should we be using.  Throughout the entire book we discuss words and verbiage that are appropriate for all audience and occasions.

In Chapter 18 of the book we discuss in detail word and phrase choices that should be used, and also ones that should never be used. We discuss why, and the effects of using these specific words and phrases.

This whole thing, and many others could have easily been avoided, and issues and bad press avoided, by all candidates.  Chapter 19 would stop most of the bad press each time they open their mouths and talk.  You should learn from them and not make the same mistakes. They could cost you friendships, jobs, opportunities, etc.

Not only the words we choose to use, but the order in which we put them, and the exact way they are phrased, even with the smallest details to you, are interpreted completely different than what you actually meant.  In chapter 36 we discuss this in detail, and make sure you know how to properly phrase what you are trying to convey to the other person. Do not leave room for error or misinterpretation! Make yourself clear by the exact way you phrase your sentences.

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